Mar 23

Good news, everybody!

Good news, everybody!

Having exceeded at least some of the Millennium Development Goals, can we achieve the Global Development Goals by 2030? It’s not impossible. 

And there are some good ones – ambitious and complicated. Economic growth by itself won’t get us there – it helped with the Millennium Development Goal to halve poverty, obviously, but it isn’t enough to achieve the GDGs. However, some countries (New Zealand is one) manage social progress that’s above what you’d predict just from the trendline based on GDP.

“Business as usual” won’t get us there. Every country in the world needs to prioritize social progress and equality if we’re going to make it. So that’s what we, as citizens, need to demand.  

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o08ykAqLOxk&feature=share

Mar 23

It might just be crazy enough to work…

It might just be crazy enough to work…

A dolphin researcher, a musician, an Internet of Things visionary, and Vint Cerf walk into a bar give a TED talk on the idea of opening up the internet to nonhuman intelligent Earth species. 

Very relevant to my interests (among my projects in development is a setting in which living things are all linked into the net with “soft radios”), and also reminiscent of David Brin and his Uplift universe. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGMLhaa98GI&feature=share

Mar 23

Evgeny Morozov argues that we are now well equipped to use “big data” and technology to manage the effects of the…

Evgeny Morozov argues that we are now well equipped to use “big data” and technology to manage the effects of the problems that we have, as they manifest in the lives of people who are embedded in sociopolitical systems – but, in doing so, to ignore the causes of those problems in the way the systems are set up. For example, “quantified self” apps prompt us about exercise and nutrition, as if our weight is entirely our responsibility, but don’t address the issues of towns designed only for cars, or the pervasiveness and cultural power of junk food.

Technology companies and governments, he says, try to gamify behaviours that in previous eras would have been driven by laws or by a belief in particular values instead. Here I think he’s being naive; usually, people’s behaviour was and is not driven by abstract values as much as by social expectations, and I don’t see being caught up in a mesh of powerful social expectations as necessarily a good thing. I take his point, though, that this is an individualist, market-oriented model of behaviour modification which doesn’t emphasize taking responsibility for a shared social situation. (He speculates that if the reward was removed, the behaviour might also cease, but that’s not what behaviourist psychology has found.)

He has a rant against Google Now and how it removes causality and narrativity from life (by presenting us with a series of reminders of what we are doing next, or could do next) – I didn’t quite agree with that bit, since to me a system like Google Now seems to be drawing out connections rather than suppressing them. It did give me a story idea, though: a character who doesn’t remember who she is, but is coached through her day by a more advanced version of Google Now, which tells her where to go and when, shows her the speech she is to give, feeds her the names of people who talk to her afterwards, and so forth. She doesn’t need to know anything about her life, because her virtual assistant knows everything about it. 

He envisions a future, based on the arguments of some current startups, where we sell the data about our daily lives – and therefore start to try to “optimize” the value of our life data in the market. I don’t know that anonymised data (which is what is usually talked about in this context) would really be open to such manipulation, though. 

He’s also concerned that the introduction of sensors and connectivity into every domain heralds the introduction of the logic of the market into those same domains, which previously operated by a different set of values. This ignores the many “open data” initiatives being run by cities, governments and citizens worldwide.

In the second half, another speaker (unfortunately not clearly identified other than as “an AI researcher”) joins him to discuss the issues. He draws attention to what Morozov hasn’t talked about, and how framing the problems differently makes them at least partially soluble.

Questions follow. They’re good questions; Morozov uses them as a jumping-off point to circle round to reiterating his points. He does, at one point, admit that “big data” can be joined to a different kind of political project (as in South America); it’s not so much technology itself as neoliberal capitalism that he has a problem with.

Nevertheless, Morozov is (to oversimplify) a technopessimist, which is a viewpoint I don’t share. It’s important to listen to people who have different viewpoints, to provoke ourselves to thought and check our own tendency to ignore the other side. He isn’t offering much in the way of solutions, however, despite several times speaking as if he’s about to do so.

(1 hour 53 minutes.)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ba0rIaEftKU&feature=share

Mar 22

One of the benefits of writing short stories is that I get to deal with a lot of different editors.

One of the benefits of writing short stories is that I get to deal with a lot of different editors. That can also be a problem, if they enter the relationship with too much ego. Or if you do.

Originally shared by David Farland

An editor can be your best friend or your worst enemy. In truth, I don’t think that you want him or her to be either. 

https://mystorydoctor.com/dealing-with-editors
Mar 22

An amazing interview with an angry, generous old artist.

An amazing interview with an angry, generous old artist.

Originally shared by Daniel Swensen

“The fight in order to make a real art movie is enormous because everything is against that. It is an awakening of consciousness and all of the industry is against the awakening of consciousness.”

http://www.theawl.com/2016/03/an-eagle-fighting-with-flies-an-interview-with-alejandro-jodorowsky

http://www.theawl.com/2016/03/an-eagle-fighting-with-flies-an-interview-with-alejandro-jodorowsky
Mar 22

Now this is off the wall.

Now this is off the wall. This ecological scientist believed the orthodoxy that the way to save grasslands and prevent them turning to desert was to reduce livestock numbers. He eventually realized he was wrong, and that using larger herds (as in nature) would revitalize the land and reverse its trend towards desert – which is significant in climate change. 

It’s one of those counter-intuitive things that’s reasonable when you think about it – but does anyone know if it’s widely supported, or if he’s regarded as something of a crank in the field?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vpTHi7O66pI&feature=share

Mar 22

Because our brains can process any sensory inputs they’re given, we’re not limited to the senses we have.

Because our brains can process any sensory inputs they’re given, we’re not limited to the senses we have. Not only can we substitute for senses that we’ve lost; we can integrate new sources of data into our sensorium and learn to experience it and respond intuitively. 

(20 minutes.)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4c1lqFXHvqI&feature=share

Mar 21

Facial and vocal indicators of emotion are constant between cultures, and there’s now a body of research which…

Facial and vocal indicators of emotion are constant between cultures, and there’s now a body of research which enables computers to read them with good accuracy.

This panel (a venture capitalist, an academic, and several entrepreneurs working to develop emotional computing applications) discuss the implications. For example, we’re good at being aware of others’ emotions, but not our own. Could a computer assistant help us with our lifestyle choices and guide us towards practices and ways of living that put us in a better mood and in better health overall? Could we assess mental health and physical pain more accurately? (Answer: it looks highly likely.)

On the other hand, will the use of emotion tracking while people consume media and experience products put us into the hands of manipulators? (Answer: not yet, but perhaps soon. However, the payoff for users will need to be there for this to gain acceptance.)

There are cultural differences in the expression of emotion, too, which show up in aggregated data. 

(1 hr 18 min)

My speculations:

1. We’ve already heard about the “bubble”, where FB or Google will show you things they think you’ll respond positively to, and you end up not aware of contrasting viewpoints. What happens if they start only showing you things that make you happy? How does that affect online activism, for example? (I have in mind Paulo Bacigalupi’s short story “The Gambler”, in which click-driven journalism drowns out serious and important issues with a tide of celebrity scandal.)

2. It’s already possible to assess a crowd’s predominant affect in near-real time (this video shows an example near the end). If this became real-time, and you played it back concurrently to, say, a political speaker – the kind of person who’s currently driven by polls, but has the mental agility to adapt his or her speech based on what people are responding to – what kind of politics would you get? I’m envisioning a standard app for speakers here, designed to prompt a boring executive to hurry through the PowerPoint when the audience starts to disengage, but repurposed for mass manipulation by a clever and adaptable demagogue. Instead of a teleprompter, the speaker watches an affect evaluation screen.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WSj26ncU_po&feature=share